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A new study from the U.S. Forest Service and Resources for the Future has identified counties in the southern half of the U.S. as particularly vulnerable to natural disasters such as wildfires, drought, and extreme heat. These counties, which are experiencing rapid population growth, are also home to socially vulnerable populations, including communities of color, low-income households, and immigrants.
The study, “Changing Hazards, Exposure, and Vulnerability in the Conterminous United States, 2020–2070,” builds on the Forest Service’s 2020 Resources Planning Act Assessment and uses various models to project the impact of climate change on these counties over the next 50 years.
The results show that counties in the Sunbelt region, such as Phoenix, are at high risk for water shortages, extreme heat, and wildfires. These areas have been experiencing rapid population growth, and this trend is expected to continue. However, the study also highlights the overlap between counties at risk for natural disasters and those with large and vulnerable populations. This means that these communities will be disproportionately impacted by the effects of climate change.
The study’s findings have important implications for decision-makers, who must consider not only the changing landscape but also the potential impact on the American public. With limited budgets and other concerns, it is crucial to understand the potential implications of climate change on these vulnerable communities.
Overall, this study highlights the urgent need for action to address the impacts of climate change, particularly in the southern half of the U.S. where vulnerable populations are at risk. By understanding the potential risks and vulnerabilities, we can better prepare and protect these communities from the effects of natural disasters.